Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.141199 5.608916 6.118757 6.719165 7.411277 8.189453 9.138248
2025-02-16 4.364776 4.996042 5.736737 6.683506 7.881917 9.377788 11.436021
2025-02-23 3.961484 4.683652 5.575117 6.783935 8.426427 10.655928 14.059945
2025-03-02 3.561056 4.302495 5.249869 6.588837 8.504458 11.275943 15.877421
2025-03-09 3.275428 4.028012 5.017394 6.465552 8.632405 11.952889 17.921300
2025-03-16 3.067991 3.831933 4.861907 6.417988 8.845264 12.775751 20.428092
2025-03-23 2.957801 3.754013 4.856111 6.578210 9.389278 14.233902 24.606567
2025-03-30 2.765730 3.545860 4.643883 6.397349 9.346733 14.649933 26.802165
2025-04-06 2.595077 3.355626 4.441419 6.208174 9.259012 14.957315 28.868272
2025-04-13 2.444338 3.184196 4.253609 6.022661 9.149963 15.197254 30.870893
2025-04-20 2.339984 3.073638 4.148965 5.961513 9.253668 15.885746 34.385463
2025-04-27 2.294703 3.046630 4.168893 6.107922 9.760138 17.545189 41.710862
2025-05-04 2.233929 2.999629 4.164645 6.231940 10.284885 19.499599 52.100067
2025-05-11 2.148775 2.911948 4.091580 6.231772 10.572970 21.019561 62.859824
2025-05-18 2.089620 2.860157 4.071847 6.324835 11.074075 23.287791 80.559312
2025-05-25 1.985815 2.732375 3.917097 6.149064 10.953554 23.778465 89.923187
2025-06-01 1.902217 2.632183 3.802029 6.037748 10.962853 24.674782 103.957514
2025-06-08 1.837107 2.558056 3.726176 5.994769 11.125610 26.130727 126.335999
2025-06-15 1.807852 2.539860 3.744629 6.139488 11.770393 29.524350 181.250346
2025-06-22 1.731814 2.441653 3.617253 5.976115 11.611131 29.950395 205.879025
2025-06-29 1.659548 2.346758 3.490904 5.804994 11.408788 30.157601 230.421539
2025-07-06 1.592231 2.257499 3.370296 5.636946 11.193085 30.255135 256.126200
2025-07-13 1.545676 2.200943 3.305428 5.581502 11.274868 31.657509 324.151371